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Insightful post! One question I had was why quantifying aleatoric uncertainty vía variance instead of, e.g., entropy? Is there a principled argument or is it just a matter of modeling preference?

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Thanks!

Variance seems to me as a statistician a "natural" choice when you frame aleatoric uncertainty as the conditional probabilistic model P(Y|X=x).

But entropy should also be a sensible option to pick.

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Makes sense. Are they monotonically correlated? If a distribution has higher variance, does it also have higher entropy?

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